7 Juan Soto commerce concepts that really make sense

This season’s commerce deadline abruptly obtained lots spicier after information got here out that Washington Nationals celebrity Juan Soto had declined a 15-year contract extension worth $440 million. To place that in perspective, Mike Trout signed a 12-year contract in 2019 that can see him make $426.5 million over the course of that deal. Soto was supplied Finest-Participant-In-Baseball-type cash and declined, so it looks as if the one logical means ahead for the Nationals could be to begin significantly entertaining commerce gives for the unbelievable 23-year-old slugger.

Whereas Soto isn’t going to be reaching unrestricted free company till 2025, it’s additionally unlikely that the Nationals will likely be in rivalry by the point Soto’s remaining season underneath contract with the crew in rolls round in 2024. With that being stated, I do know you’re not right here to determine which uniform Juan Soto will likely be carrying three years from now — you’re right here to attempt to see which uniform Juan Soto may very well be carrying three weeks from now. So let’s discuss it and get away the Baseball Trade Values machine (with trades which are truly accepted by the machine) whereas attempting to determine what it’ll take to get Juan Soto in your crew by the point this commerce deadline has come and gone.

For starters, it’ll in all probability assist in case your crew has an precise shot of enjoying in October this 12 months. Whereas rebuilding groups may be capable of meet what needs to be an astronomical asking worth for Soto, plenty of these golf equipment in all probability aren’t going to be excited about dipping deep into their prospect pool simply to get one participant. They’re additionally more likely to be in the identical state of affairs that the Nationals at present are, the place they doubtless wouldn’t be keen to put down the money for a participant of Soto’s caliber whereas additionally being a non-factor within the struggle for a World Series title.

This line of considering robotically eliminates among the regular suspects just like the Athletics, Reds, Pirates and Orioles and different groups who’re both struggling proper now or traditionally low-cost. This additionally knocks out the Rays after they obtained their once-a-decade monetary shock out of the way in which by signing Wander Franco to a long-term contract extension.

We will additionally doubtless knock out the divisional rivals from the sweepstakes, although I’d think about that they’re nonetheless going to attempt. If the asking worth for Juan Soto already figures to be unspeakably excessive, then there’s little-to-no likelihood that groups throughout the NL East are going to be paying something lower than a premium on high of that. The Braves are both relying on their high prospects on the huge league degree or they despatched them to Oakland for Matt Olson. The Phillies would have hassle assembly any potential asking worth by way of gamers whereas additionally attempting to contend on the similar time.

The Marlins have the prospects and a good quantity of enticing main leaguers they could throw in the deal, however they fall into the sooner classes of not being a severe contender whereas additionally having a popularity for not spending a ton of cash on gamers. Alternatively, the Mets even have all the expertise, the “win-now” ambition and the monetary wherewithal to pull off a deal however as soon as once more, it might take an astronomical supply (like prospects and decent-to-good huge leaguers) for one thing to occur throughout the division.

Photograph by Adam Starvation/Getty Photographs

So with these groups out of the way in which, now the hypothesis can begin to get spicy. Think about Juan Soto going from forming a strong trio with Josh Bell and Nelson Cruz to abruptly ending up with the likes of Fernando Tatís Jr. and Manny Machado? That may very well be a chance for the reason that Padres are a kind of groups that matches the invoice of getting good organizational depth, monetary functionality and title ambitions. So what may a commerce seem like?


Padres followers will in all probability wince enthusiastic about dropping MacKenzie Gore particularly however hey, that’s the price of being doubtlessly being the boss. Simply let this preliminary supply offer you a sign of what it’s going to take to commerce for Soto. It is likely to be painful to half with these gamers particularly nevertheless it’ll be value it for the nightmares {that a} Soto-Tatís-Machado trio would induce into any pitching workers throughout the baseball panorama.

An offense that might doubtless get even scarier with the addition of Juan Soto could be the Toronto Blue Jays. Whereas the long-term relationship could be a giant query mark, seeing Juan Soto blast baseballs throughout the Rogers Centre whereas being surrounded with the likes of Vladimir Guererro Jr., Bo Bichette, George Springer and Alejandro Kirk could be well worth the hefty commerce worth. That might additionally embody one other Nationals participant coming to Canada with Soto.


Yep, that’s Patrick Corbin being included. If the Nationals are significantly contemplating buying and selling away Juan Soto then they could as nicely simply attempt to discover a approach to tackle Patrick Corbin and his contract. Some groups may get away with pulling off a deal with out Corbin concerned — the Blue Jays wouldn’t be a kind of groups, so this may doubtless be the trail they’d should take. Between bringing in Corbin and parting with two very high-caliber prospects, this figures to be a steep worth for the Blue Jays however as soon as once more, Juan Soto is Juan Soto.

Then we’ve got the same old suspects for at any time when a celebrity is abruptly accessible. It’s completely comprehensible in the event you’ve already accepted that Juan Soto may very well be carrying Dodger blue or Yankee pinstripes not too lengthy from now. The Yankees would doubtless should take the trail of taking Patrick Corbin together with Juan Soto, whereas the Dodgers may pull it off just by having prospects and gamers who may assist out within the huge leagues.

It is a horrifying state of affairs for the remainder of baseball if Juan Soto leads to both of these lineups — both Soto joins what’s already one of the gifted lineups in baseball historical past in Los Angeles or he will get to affix a lineup in New York that has already reached juggernaut standing. Choose your poison, certainly!


There are additionally some darkish horses that should be thought-about. It wouldn’t be stunning to see the Red Sox getting concerned in a pursuit of Juan Soto since they’ve the cash to doubtlessly hold him, the gamers to get him in a trade and the sheer hatred of their rivals in New York to maintain him out of the Bronx. You even have to think about the Giants, who may go from constructing round Logan Webb to constructing round Juan Soto in the event that they resolve to flex their monetary muscle and hold Soto round long-term. The identical goes for the Cardinals, who may ship one 23-year-old outfielder to the nation’s capital in change for one more 23-year-old outfielder.


There’s another crew that at all times needs to be behind anyone’s thoughts on the subject of any kind of transactions in baseball. It’s actually not that tough to think about Jerry Dipoto attempting to determine precisely what it might take to make Juan Soto the most recent generational expertise to don a kind of candy teal Mariners jerseys. Seattle has a superb factor going with their crew proper now but when anyone would shake issues up, it’s a man who wakes up ready to transact. Some individuals got here right here to see realistic trade offers and I respect that. This subsequent one is for individuals who want to see the world burn.

The 2022 Dwelling Run Derby abruptly turns into a historic occasion.

Whereas all of this hypothesis is thrilling to speak about, there’s at all times the chance that it may find yourself being all for naught. This all finally ends up being for nothing if Juan Soto and his camp resolve to stay round and see what occurs sooner or later with the Nationals and any new possession that finally comes round, or if he doesn’t get traded and finally ends up staying all the way in which till it’s time for him to select a crew for himself in free company.

With that being stated, it now looks as if a impossible state of affairs that Soto will likely be enjoying for the Nationals previous this season. If the Nationals are certainly floating their celebrity outfielder on the commerce market, then the August 2 commerce deadline figures to be one of the thrilling occasions of this season. Whether or not it’s a contender, a juggernaut or a darkish horse doubtlessly buying Juan Soto, it’s completely intriguing to consider with the commerce deadline looming.

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